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Asian shares gain as global bond yields decline

Asian shares gain as global bond yields decline

Asian shares swung higher today as weak US growth seemed to further delay the day when interest rates might rise, pulling down bond yields globally and pushing investors toward riskier assets in a desperate search for returns.

A shockingly poor reading on the US economy for the first quarter also pressured the dollar while giving a lift to most commodities and resource-related currencies.

Still, the prospect that Federal Reserve would keep rates low for longer encouraged equity investors.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan added 0.3%. Japan’s Nikkei gained 0.4% and South Korea 0.5%.
On Wall Street, the Dow bounced 0.29%, the S&P 500 0.49% and the Nasdaq 0.68%.

Shares of CBS shot up 6.2% as the US Supreme Court ruled TV startup Aereo violates copyright law by using tiny antennas to provide subscribers with broadcast network content via the Internet.

Markets managed to put a positive spin on data showing the US economy shrank at an annualised 2.9% pace in the first quarter, far below already-pessimistic estimates.

Analysts emphasised the weakness was mainly due to one-off factors and a marked rebound was likely this quarter.

Yet the result was so poor that it soured the outlook for the entire year, such that the Fed’s recently lowered forecast of 2.2% growth for 2014 now seems highly optimistic.

That only added to market expectations the Fed would keep rates near zero well into next year and led investors to push out ever further on the yield curve in search of returns.

This trend nudged yields on 10-year Treasuries down to 2.56% and away from the June peak of 2.66%.

The hunt for yield was even more acute in Europe, where the European Central Bank recently started cc for taking their cash deposits.

The tide of money pushed yields on German 10-year debt to a one-year trough of 1.26%.

That in turn widened the spread against US paper out to 130 basis points, giving Treasuries the biggest premium in at least two decades.

That yield advantage could provide the US dollar some support over time, but for now the sticker shock from the GDP numbers kept the currency under pressure.

The dollar index fell as far as 80.091, a low not seen since May 22, while the euro bounced to US$1.3627.

Sterling climbed to US$1.6984 from a one-week low of US$1.6952, while the Australian dollar popped back above 94 US cents from $0.9354.

The lower dollar helped gold up to $1,318.75 an ounce, from a low of $1,310.36 yesterday.

In oil markets, US crude was firmer after news of a government decision to permit exports of lightly refined oil promised to open a new source of demand for the product.

US crude added 18 cents to US$106.68 a barrel, while Brent gained 20 cents to US$114.20. – Reuters, June 26, 2014.

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